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Vehicle Road Accident Prediction Model along Federal Road FT050 Kluang-A/Hitam-B/Pahat Route Using Excess Zero Data

2020· article· en· W3044971654 on OpenAlex
Joewono Prasetijo, Wan Zahidah Musa, Zulhaidi Mohd Jawi, Zaffan Farhana Zainal, Nor Baizura Hamid, Arun Bala Subramaniyan, Alvin John Lim Meng Siang, Nickholas Anting, I. Mohd Hafzi

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueIOP Conference Series Materials Science and Engineering · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicTraffic and Road Safety
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPoisson regressionNegative binomial distributionQuarter (Canadian coin)Poisson distributionTransport engineeringStatisticsRegression analysisRoad accidentGross domestic productCount dataEngineeringGeographyMathematicsEconometricsDemographyEconomicsPopulationEconomic growth

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Traffic accidents have become a major socio-economic problem in Malaysia as it is the primary cause of mortality. Over 60 percent of these fatal accidents occurred on rural roads. Nearly half of all fatalities took place on federal roads and over a quarter happened on state roads. It is also estimated that about 2 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), or approximately RM 9 billion, is lost through road accidents. Previous studies managed to develop several models for modelling the occurrence of accidents, but most of these models have plenty of deficiencies. The following study focuses on stochastic regression models, such as Poisson, Negative Binomial, Zero-Inflated Poisson and Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial with excess zero outcomes on the response variables. Furthermore, in order to specify the regression relationship with a sophisticated result, R-statistical programming is used. The method used is also the updating approach in predicting potential road accidents, which can also produce an accuracy probability of hazardous locations. Based on road accident data collected over a five-year period from 2010 to 2014 at Federal Road F0050: Kluang-A/Hitam- B/Pahat in Johor, Malaysia, results of this study show that Zero Inflated model performed better, in terms of the comparative criteria based on the AIC value.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.518
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.003
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.046
GPT teacher head0.238
Teacher spread0.192 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it