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Computational Simulation Modeling

2020· book-chapter· en· W3045254778 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Michael Wolfson

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
Topicdemographic modeling and climate adaptation
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLife expectancySet (abstract data type)Health careComputer scienceFraction (chemistry)Expectancy theoryInequalityRange (aeronautics)Operations researchEconometricsManagement scienceActuarial scienceEconomicsMedicineEngineeringMathematicsEnvironmental healthPopulationEconomic growth

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract This chapter illustrates computer simulation “model thinking,” with brief descriptions of five recent health models along an abstract to applied spectrum. The author starts with a very simple model to assess not only the cross-sectional but also the lifetime redistributive impact of Canada’s publicly funded healthcare. Next is a multilevel interacting agent model seeking to understand why the correlations between city-level income inequality and mortality are so different between Canada and the United States. Following are models that significantly generalize the concept of attributable fraction applied to health-adjusted life expectancy and a genetic missing model to support cost-effectiveness of risk-based breast cancer screening policy options. The fifth model is the most detailed and is being applied to develop projections of long-term care utilization and costs. While this is a diverse set of models, collectively, they illustrate the range of possibilities, and the benefits of “model thinking.”

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.664
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.288
GPT teacher head0.393
Teacher spread0.104 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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