A Modified Spatiotemporal Mixed-Effects Model for Interpolating Missing Values in Spatiotemporal Observation Data Series
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Missing values in data series is a common problem in many research and applications. Most of existing interpolation methods are based on spatial or temporal interpolation, without considering the spatiotemporal correlation of observation data, resulting in poor interpolation effect. In this paper, a Modified Spatiotemporal Mixed-Effects (MSTME) model for interpolation of spatiotemporal data series is proposed. Experiments with simulated data and real SCIGN data are performed to assess the validity of the proposed model in comparison with Kriged Kalman Filter (KKF) model and Spatiotemporal Mixed-Effects (STME) model. The average improvements of simulated data and SCIGN data for observed stations are around 46% and 19% over the KKF model and 62% and 21% over the STME model, and those for unobserved stations are around 23% and 34% over the KKF model and 41% and 16% over the STME model, respectively, indicating that the proposed MSTME model can achieve better accuracy for interpolating missing values.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it