A Semiempirical Model for Rate of Penetration with Application to an Offshore Gas Field
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Summary In this paper, we present an accurate semiempirical rate of penetration (ROP) predictive model for polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) bits. Our model is inspired by the model of Bourgoyne and Young (B&Y) and follows an exponential form with 10 different drilling functions to account for various factors affecting ROP in drilling operations. We extend the B&Y model to the PDC bits and discuss that a different predictive model should be obtained for each formation. On top of the factors included in the original B&Y model, our model accounts for parameters such as downhole motor, equivalent circulating density, mechanical weight on bit (WOB), and wellbore inclination. In particular, we incorporate the effect of equilibrium cuttings bed thickness and downhole cuttings concentration in the ROP model. The parameters of the model are obtained using multiple regression analysis with the field data. The importance of obtaining a formation-based ROP model is tested and verified with field data, and an algorithm to determine the parameters for new data is provided. The model can be incorporated in a framework to obtain an optimal well plan for a new well or for prescribing optimal operational parameters for well planning and real-time drilling operations. The prediction performance of the proposed model is also evaluated in various formations for several test wells across an offshore gas field. Our results indicate that the proposed model is able to predict the drilling ROP with an accuracy of more than 90%.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".