Stochastic Sequential Modeling: Toward Improved Prostate Cancer Diagnosis Through Temporal-Ultrasound
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Prostate cancer (PCa) is a common, serious form of cancer in men that is still prevalent despite ongoing developments in diagnostic oncology. Current detection methods lead to high rates of inaccurate diagnosis. We present a method to directly model and exploit temporal aspects of temporal enhanced ultrasound (TeUS) for tissue characterization, which improves malignancy prediction. We employ a probabilistic-temporal framework, namely, hidden Markov models (HMMs), for modeling TeUS data obtained from PCa patients. We distinguish malignant from benign tissue by comparing the respective log-likelihood estimates generated by the HMMs. We analyze 1100 TeUS signals acquired from 12 patients. Our results show improved malignancy identification compared to previous results, demonstrating over 85% accuracy and AUC of 0.95. Incorporating temporal information directly into the models leads to improved tissue differentiation in PCa. We expect our method to generalize and be applied to other types of cancer in which temporal-ultrasound can be recorded.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".