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Port Throughput Forecasting Based on Broad Learning System with Considering Influencing Factors

2020· article· en· W3049149478 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicMachine Learning and ELM
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsThroughputPort (circuit theory)Computer scienceContainer (type theory)UnivariateQuarter (Canadian coin)Machine learningMultivariate statisticsEngineeringTelecommunicationsGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

With the development of the shipping industry, port throughput has increased significantly in recent years. Chinese ports have become increasingly important. The fluctuation of container throughput in ports is affected by many factors. The effective and accurate forecasting of port throughput provides a scientific reference for the development of the port. Based on the port throughput data of Lianyun Port in China from the first quarter of 2005 to the fourth quarter of 2016, this paper uses univariate linear regression, multiple linear regression, and broad learning system to forecast the container throughput of the port in each quarter of 2017 and 2018. Comparing the forecasting results with the actual throughput. The experimental results show that the broad learning system can consider two economic influencing factors about the throughput at the same time and forecast port throughput accurately and effectively. Therefore, broad learning system is more suitable for the forecasting of port throughput than other methods.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.606
Threshold uncertainty score0.610

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.224
Teacher spread0.191 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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