MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W3072889790 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2008.08041

Deep Learning Based on Generative Adversarial and Convolutional Neural Networks for Financial Time Series Predictions

2020· preprint· en· W3072889790 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsArtificial intelligenceComputer scienceConvolutional neural networkMachine learningStock marketAdversarial systemDeep learningStock market predictionGenerative grammarNoveltyArtificial neural network

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the big data era, deep learning and intelligent data mining technique solutions have been applied by researchers in various areas. Forecast and analysis of stock market data have represented an essential role in today's economy, and a significant challenge to the specialist since the market's tendencies are immensely complex, chaotic and are developed within a highly dynamic environment. There are numerous researches from multiple areas intending to take on that challenge, and Machine Learning approaches have been the focus of many of them. There are multiple models of Machine Learning algorithms been able to obtain competent outcomes doing that class of foresight. This paper proposes the implementation of a generative adversarial network (GAN), which is composed by a bi-directional Long short-term memory (LSTM) and convolutional neural network(CNN) referred as Bi-LSTM-CNN to generate synthetic data that agree with existing real financial data so the features of stocks with positive or negative trends can be retained to predict future trends of a stock. The novelty of this proposed solution that distinct from previous solutions is that this paper introduced the concept of a hybrid system (Bi-LSTM-CNN) rather than a sole LSTM model. It was collected data from multiple stock markets such as TSX, SHCOMP, KOSPI 200 and the S&P 500, proposing an adaptative-hybrid system for trends prediction on stock market prices, and carried a comprehensive evaluation on several commonly utilized machine learning prototypes, and it is concluded that the proposed solution approach outperforms preceding models. Additionally, during the research stage from preceding works, gaps were found between investors and researchers who dedicated to the technical domain.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.007
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.957
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.007
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.134
GPT teacher head0.264
Teacher spread0.130 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it