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Record W3081255431 · doi:10.1186/s13662-020-02894-5

Stochastic dynamics in a delayed epidemic system with Markovian switching and media coverage

2020· article· en· W3081255431 on OpenAlexafffund
Chao Liu, Jane M. Heffernan

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvances in Difference Equations · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Canadian institutionsYork University
FundersYoung Scientists FundNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaChinese Government ScholarshipChina Scholarship CouncilYork University
KeywordsOrdinary differential equationMathematicsStationary distributionLyapunov functionPersistence (discontinuity)Markov processStochastic dynamicsStochastic differential equationMedia coverageDynamics (music)Applied mathematicsStochastic processEpidemic modelExtinction (optical mineralogy)Markov chainStochastic modellingStatistical physicsDifferential equationMathematical analysisStatisticsPhysicsPopulationMedicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A stochastic SIR system with Lévy jumps and distributed delay is developed and employed to study the combined effects of Markovian switching and media coverage on stochastic epidemiological dynamics and outcomes. Stochastic Lyapunov functions are used to prove the existence of a stationary distribution to the positive solution. Sufficient conditions for persistence in mean and the extinction of an infectious disease are also shown.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.280
Teacher spread0.259 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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