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Record W3081925880 · doi:10.20381/ruor-25125

Seasonal Variation in a Predator-Predator-Prey Model

2020· dissertation· en· W3081925880 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Noah Bolohan

Bibliographic record

VenueuO Research (University of Ottawa) · 2020
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPredatorPredationVariation (astronomy)EcologyApex predatorBiologyEnvironmental scienceGeographyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Seasonal shifts in predation habits, from a generalist in the summer to a specialist in the winter, have been documented for the great horned owl (Bulbo virginialis) in the boreal forest. This shift occurs largely due to varying prey availability. There is little study of this switching behaviour in the current literature. Since season length is predicted to change under future climate scenarios, it is important to understand resulting effects on species dynamics. Previous work has been done on a two-species seasonal model for the great horned owl and its focal prey, the snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus). In this thesis, we extend the model by adding one of the hare's most important predators, the Canadian lynx (Lynx canadensis). We study the qualitative behaviour of this model as season length changes using tools and techniques from dynamical systems. Our main approach is to determine when the lynx and the owl may invade the system at low density and ask whether mutual invasion of the predators implies stable coexistence in the three-species model. We observe that, as summer length increases, mutual invasion is less likely, and we expect to see extinction of the lynx. However, in all cases where mutual invasion was satisfied, the three species stably coexist.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.020
Threshold uncertainty score0.040

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.067
GPT teacher head0.342
Teacher spread0.274 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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