A Customized Deep Neural Network Approach to Investigate Travel Mode Choice with Interpretable Utility Information
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Discrete choice modeling of travel modes is an essential part of traffic planning and management. Thus far, this field has been dominated by multinomial logit (MNL) models with a linear utility specification. However, deep neural networks (DNNs), owing to their powerful capacity of nonlinear fitting, are now rapidly replacing these models. This is because, by using DNNs, mode choice can be assimilated with the classification problems within the machine learning community. This article proposes a newly designed DNN framework for traffic mode choice in the style of two hidden layers. First, a local-connected layer automatically extracts an effective utility specification from the available data, and then, a fully connected layer augments the feature representation. Validated by a practical city-wide multimodal traffic dataset in Beijing, our model significantly outperforms the random utility models and simple fully connected neural network in terms of the prediction accuracy. Besides the comparison of the predictive power, we also present the interpretability of the proposed model.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".