Prediction of Strawberry Yield and Farm Price Utilizing Deep Learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The currently deployed prediction models for strawberry fresh produce (FP) are based on either conventional machine learning (ML) or on simple deep learning (DL) models that are mostly applied for yield prediction. In this paper, we propose more comprehensive DL models that are applied for the first time to predict strawberry yield. The strawberry price is predicted as well directly from weather input parameters and yield. The strawberry price prediction is achieved using compound DL models such as Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network (CNN-LSTM). It is found that by adding attention, the performance of the compound models usually improves. After utilizing an aggregated performance measure to find the best model, the Attention-CNN-LSTM model proved to be the best compared to the rest of the deployed conventional ML models as well as the compound and simple DL models. The aggregated measure shows that this model is capable of precisely predicting strawberry prices five weeks ahead while maintaining the lowest prediction error and the highest model correlation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".