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Prediction of Strawberry Yield and Farm Price Utilizing Deep Learning

2020· article· en· W3090011912 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicGreenhouse Technology and Climate Control
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsConvolutional neural networkYield (engineering)Deep learningArtificial intelligenceComputer scienceMean squared prediction errorMeasure (data warehouse)Artificial neural networkMachine learningSimple (philosophy)Predictive modellingData mining

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The currently deployed prediction models for strawberry fresh produce (FP) are based on either conventional machine learning (ML) or on simple deep learning (DL) models that are mostly applied for yield prediction. In this paper, we propose more comprehensive DL models that are applied for the first time to predict strawberry yield. The strawberry price is predicted as well directly from weather input parameters and yield. The strawberry price prediction is achieved using compound DL models such as Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network (CNN-LSTM). It is found that by adding attention, the performance of the compound models usually improves. After utilizing an aggregated performance measure to find the best model, the Attention-CNN-LSTM model proved to be the best compared to the rest of the deployed conventional ML models as well as the compound and simple DL models. The aggregated measure shows that this model is capable of precisely predicting strawberry prices five weeks ahead while maintaining the lowest prediction error and the highest model correlation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.852
Threshold uncertainty score0.296

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.040
GPT teacher head0.200
Teacher spread0.160 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Quick stats

Citations37
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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