Bibliographic record
Abstract
Grouped normal variance mixtures are a class of multivariate distributions that generalize classical normal variance mixtures such as the multivariate t distribution, by allowing different groups to have different (comonotone) mixing distributions. This allows one to better model risk factors where components within a group are of similar type, but where different groups have components of quite different type. This paper provides an encompassing body of algorithms to address the computational challenges when working with this class of distributions. In particular, the distribution function and copula are estimated efficiently using randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) algorithms. We propose to estimate the log-density function, which is in general not available in closed form, using an adaptive RQMC scheme. This, in turn, gives rise to a likelihood-based fitting procedure to jointly estimate the parameters of a grouped normal mixture copula jointly. We also provide mathematical expressions and methods to compute Kendall’s tau, Spearman’s rho and the tail dependence coefficient λ. All algorithms presented are available in the R package nvmix (version ≥ 0.0.5).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.023 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.020 | 0.006 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".