An Improved Deep Learning Algorithm for Risk Prediction of Corporate Internet Reporting
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Corporate internet reporting (CIR) has such advantages as the strong timeliness, large amount, and wide coverage of financial information. However, the CIR, like any other online information, faces various risks. With the aid of the increasingly sophisticated artificial intelligence (AI) technology, this paper proposes an improved deep learning algorithm for the prediction of CIR risks, aiming to improve the accuracy of CIR risk prediction. After building a reasonable evaluation index system (EIS) for CIR risks, the data involved in risk rating and the prediction of risk transmission effect (RTE) were subject to structured feature extraction and time series construction. Next, a combinatory CIR risk prediction model was established by combining the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model with long short-term memory (LSTM). The former is good at depicting linear series, and the latter excels in describing nonlinear series. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the ARMA-LSTM model. The research findings provide a good reference for applying AI technology in risk prediction of other areas.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it