Machine learning-based prediction of microsatellite instability and high tumor mutation burden from contrast-enhanced computed tomography in endometrial cancers
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
To evaluate whether radiomic features from contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) can identify DNA mismatch repair deficient (MMR-D) and/or tumor mutational burden-high (TMB-H) endometrial cancers (ECs). Patients who underwent targeted massively parallel sequencing of primary ECs between 2014 and 2018 and preoperative CE-CT were included (n = 150). Molecular subtypes of EC were assigned using DNA polymerase epsilon (POLE) hotspot mutations and immunohistochemistry-based p53 and MMR protein expression. TMB was derived from sequencing, with > 15.5 mutations-per-megabase as a cut-point to define TMB-H tumors. After radiomic feature extraction and selection, radiomic features and clinical variables were processed with the recursive feature elimination random forest classifier. Classification models constructed using the training dataset (n = 105) were then validated on the holdout test dataset (n = 45). Integrated radiomic-clinical classification distinguished MMR-D from copy number (CN)-low-like and CN-high-like ECs with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.78 (95% CI 0.58-0.91). The model further differentiated TMB-H from TMB-low (TMB-L) tumors with an AUROC of 0.87 (95% CI 0.73-0.95). Peritumoral-rim radiomic features were most relevant to both classifications (p ≤ 0.044). Radiomic analysis achieved moderate accuracy in identifying MMR-D and TMB-H ECs directly from CE-CT. Radiomics may provide an adjunct tool to molecular profiling, especially given its potential advantage in the setting of intratumor heterogeneity.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it