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Record W3094606517 · doi:10.18280/ria.340412

Power Customer Complaint Prediction Model Based on Time Series Analysis

2020· article· en· W3094606517 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

venuePublished in a venue whose home country is Canada.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueRevue d intelligence artificielle · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicEvaluation Methods in Various Fields
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAutoregressive integrated moving averageComputer scienceTime seriesArtificial neural networkAutoregressive modelBackpropagationMean squared prediction errorPredictive powerSeries (stratigraphy)Predictive modellingGenetic algorithmData miningPower (physics)Machine learningArtificial intelligenceStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

To improve customer service of power enterprises, this paper constructs an intelligent prediction model for customer complaints in the near future based on the big data on power service. Firstly, three customer complaint prediction models were established, separately based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series algorithm, multiple linear regression (MLR) algorithm, and backpropagation neural network (BPNN) algorithm. The predicted values of the three models were compared with the real values. Through the comparison, the BPNN model was found to achieve the best predictive effect. To help the BPNN avoid local minimum, the genetic algorithm (GA) was introduced to optimize the BPNN model. Finally, several experiments were conducted to verify the effect of the optimized model. The results show that the relative error of the optimized model was less than 40% in most cases. The proposed model can greatly improve the customer service of power enterprises.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.945
Threshold uncertainty score0.992

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0250.008

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.301
Teacher spread0.254 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it