Penalized Empirical Likelihood-Based Variable Selection for Longitudinal Data Analysis
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Longitudinal data with a large number of covariates have become common in many applications such as epidemiology, clinical research, and therapeutic evaluation. The identification of a sub-model that adequately represents the data are necessary for easy interpretation. Existing information theoretic-approaches such as AIC and BIC are useful, but computationally not efficient due to an evaluation of all possible subsets. A new class of penalized likelihood methods such as LASSO, SCAD, etc. are efficient in these situations. All these methods rely on the parametric modeling of the response of interest. The joint likelihood function for longitudinal data is challenging, particularly for correlated discrete outcome data. In such a situation, we propose penalized empirical likelihood (PEL) based on generalized estimating equations (GEE) by which the variable selection and the estimation of the coefficients are carried out simultaneously. We discuss its characteristics and asymptotic properties and present an efficient computational algorithm for optimizing PEL. Simulation studies show that when model assumptions are true, its performance is comparable to that of the existing methods and when the model is misspecified, our method has clear advantages over the existing methods. We have applied the method to two case examples.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it