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Record W3095671294 · doi:10.1109/access.2020.3035328

Electricity Price Forecasting for Cloud Computing Using an Enhanced Machine Learning Model

2020· article· en· W3095671294 on OpenAlex
Saleh Albahli, Nasir Ayub

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueIEEE Access · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicTraffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersQassim University
KeywordsComputer scienceCloud computingElectricityServerMean absolute percentage errorEnergy consumptionBoosting (machine learning)Scheduling (production processes)Data modelingReal-time computingDatabaseArtificial intelligenceOperating systemArtificial neural networkOperations managementEngineeringElectrical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Cloud computing is rapidly taking over the information technology industry because it makes computing a lot easier without worries of buying the physical hardware needed for computations, rather, these services are hosted by companies with provide the cloud services. These companies contain a lot of computers and servers whose main source of power is electricity, hence, design and maintenance of these companies is dependent on the availability of steady and cheap electrical power supply. Cloud centers are energy-hungry. With recent spikes in electricity prices, one of the main challenges in designing and maintenance of such centers is to minimize electricity consumption of data centers and save energy. Efficient data placement and node scheduling to offload or move storage are some of the main approaches to solve these problems. In this article, we propose an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model to offload or move storage, predict electricity price, and as a result reduce energy consumption costs in data centers. The performance of this method is evaluated on a real-world dataset provided by the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) in Ontario, Canada, to offload data storage in data centers and efficiently decrease energy consumption. The data is split into 70% training and 30% testing. We have trained our proposed model on the data and validate our model on the testing data. The results indicate that our model can predict electricity prices with a mean squared error (MSE) of 15.66 and mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.74% respectively, which can result in 25.32% cut in electricity costs. The accuracy of our proposed technique is 91% while the accuracy of benchmark algorithms RF and SVR is 89% and 88%, respectively.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.780
Threshold uncertainty score0.634

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.075
GPT teacher head0.295
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it