Endoscopic prediction of submucosal invasion in Barrett’s cancer with the use of artificial intelligence: a pilot study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The accurate differentiation between T1a and T1b Barrett's-related cancer has both therapeutic and prognostic implications but is challenging even for experienced physicians. We trained an artificial intelligence (AI) system on the basis of deep artificial neural networks (deep learning) to differentiate between T1a and T1b Barrett's cancer on white-light images. METHODS: Endoscopic images from three tertiary care centers in Germany were collected retrospectively. A deep learning system was trained and tested using the principles of cross validation. A total of 230 white-light endoscopic images (108 T1a and 122 T1b) were evaluated using the AI system. For comparison, the images were also classified by experts specialized in endoscopic diagnosis and treatment of Barrett's cancer. RESULTS: The sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, and accuracy of the AI system in the differentiation between T1a and T1b cancer lesions was 0.77, 0.64, 0.74, and 0.71, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference between the performance of the AI system and that of experts, who showed sensitivity, specificity, F1, and accuracy of 0.63, 0.78, 0.67, and 0.70, respectively. CONCLUSION: This pilot study demonstrates the first multicenter application of an AI-based system in the prediction of submucosal invasion in endoscopic images of Barrett's cancer. AI scored equally to international experts in the field, but more work is necessary to improve the system and apply it to video sequences and real-life settings. Nevertheless, the correct prediction of submucosal invasion in Barrett's cancer remains challenging for both experts and AI.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".