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Record W3101400296 · doi:10.5558/tfc2020-017

Forest growth trends in the eastern United States

2020· article· en· W3101400296 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Craig Loehle

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Forestry Chronicle · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicForest ecology and management
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Council for Air and Stream Improvement
KeywordsEnvironmental sciencePrecipitationDendrochronologyClimate changeAnnual growth %Atmospheric sciencesPhysical geographyThinningAcid depositionDeposition (geology)GeographyForestryClimatologyEcologyBiologyMeteorologySoil science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Changes over the past century in factors such as temperature, precipitation, fire regimes, ozone, atmospheric CO2, and nitrogen deposition naturally lead to questions about forest growth over this same time period. Determining changes in forest growth over long intervals is complicated by constantly changing growth conditions due to tree maturation, stand self-thinning, disturbance, fires, and other factors. Because a comprehensive review is lacking, results were evaluated from publications examining forest growth trends in the eastern United States over the past 100 years. Available studies used multiple sources of data, including permanent plots, growth models, and tree-ring analysis to evaluate forest growth trends. Reviewed publications (n = 19) reported medium to strong growth enhancement based on a variety of data types over periods exceeding 100 years in some cases. Model-based analyses, which mostly did not include CO2 and nitrogen fertilization effects, had lower estimates of growth enhancement. Results were consistent for different study lengths and data types. No study reported forest-scale growth declines. Factors identified as the cause of enhanced growth varied by study, but included rising CO2 concentrations, N deposition, increased precipitation, and warming temperatures.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.043
Threshold uncertainty score0.085

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0030.005
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.222
Teacher spread0.208 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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