Utility of shape evolution and displacement in the classification of chronic multiple sclerosis lesions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The accurate recognition of multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions is challenged by the high sensitivity and imperfect specificity of MRI. To examine whether longitudinal changes in volume, surface area, 3-dimensional (3D) displacement (i.e. change in lesion position), and 3D deformation (i.e. change in lesion shape) could inform on the origin of supratentorial brain lesions, we prospectively enrolled 23 patients with MS and 11 patients with small vessel disease (SVD) and performed standardized 3-T 3D brain MRI studies. Bayesian linear mixed effects regression models were constructed to evaluate associations between changes in lesion morphology and disease state. A total of 248 MS and 157 SVD lesions were studied. Individual MS lesions demonstrated significant decreases in volume < 3.75mm3 (p = 0.04), greater shifts in 3D displacement by 23.4% with increasing duration between MRI time points (p = 0.007), and greater transitions to a more non-spherical shape (p < 0.0001). If 62.2% of lesions within a given MRI study had a calculated theoretical radius > 2.49 based on deviation from a perfect 3D sphere, a 92.7% in-sample and 91.2% out-of-sample accuracy was identified for the diagnosis of MS. Longitudinal 3D shape evolution and displacement characteristics may improve lesion classification, adding to MRI techniques aimed at improving lesion specificity.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".