Life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy in people with inflammatory bowel disease
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) may be life-threatening and often reduces quality of life. We determined trends in life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy in people with and without IBD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of population-level health administrative, demographic and health survey data available from databases in Ontario. We matched people with a diagnosis of IBD to those without a diagnosis of IBD. We used period life tables that were generated using age- and sex-specific 5-year mortality rates to calculate life expectancy (for 1996, 2000, 2008 and 2011). We incorporated the Health Utility Index (National Population Health Study; Canadian Community Health Survey) to estimate health-adjusted life expectancy (for 1996, 2000 and 2008). RESULTS: Life expectancy in patients with IBD increased between 1996 and 2011 (females: from 75.5 to 78.4 yr, difference: 2.9 yr [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3 to 4.5]; males: from 72.2 to 75.5 yr, difference: 3.2 yr [95% CI 2.1 to 4.4]). Between 1996 and 2008, health-adjusted life expectancy decreased among males by 3.9 years (95% CI 1.2 to 6.6). There was no statistically significant change in health-adjusted life expectancy among females with IBD (difference: 2.0 yr, 95% CI -1.6 to 5.7). Life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy were lower in people with IBD compared with those without IBD. Differences in life expectancy in people with and without IBD ranged from 6.6 to 8.1 years in females and 5.0 to 6.1 years in males, depending on the year. Differences in health-adjusted life expectancy for people with and without IBD ranged from 9.5 to 13.5 years in females and 2.6 to 6.7 years in males. INTERPRETATION: Whilst life expectancy has increased among people with IBD, a gap in life expectancy between those with and without IBD remains, and the effect of pain on daily functioning contributes substantially to reduced health-adjusted life expectancy, suggesting that improved pain mitigation strategies should be implemented.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".