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Impacto de la comercialización de futuros sobre el índice Colcap en la volatilidad asimétrica del mercado de acciones en Colombia

2020· article· es· W3107848458 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueESPACIOS · 2020
Typearticle
Languagees
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMarket Dynamics and Volatility
Canadian institutionsImpact
Fundersnot available
KeywordsHumanitiesEconomicsPhilosophy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

La pregunta motivadora de esta investigación fue medir el impacto sobre la volatilidad asimétrica en el mercado de acciones como consecuencia de la entrada en operación del mercado de futuros sobre el indicador bursátil COLCAP de la Bolsa de Valores de Colombia. Con base en modelos estadísticos del tipo GARCH, se analizaron los retornos diarios del indicador desde principios del 2008 hasta finales del año 2018. Los hallazgos revelan la existencia de un efecto de apalancamiento y un mayor nivel de asimetría después que los futuros comenzaron a ser comercializados.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.371
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.261
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it