Feasibility of identifying and describing the burden of early-onset metabolic syndrome in primary care electronic medical record data: a cross-sectional analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: The prevalence of metabolic syndrome is growing worldwide, yet remains underinvestigated in Canadian young adults. We sought to explore the use of a harmonized case definition specific to early-onset metabolic syndrome and determine its feasibility in assessing the prevalence of metabolic syndrome among electronic medical record (EMR) data of young adults in Northern Alberta. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study using a sample of EMR data from young adult patients aged 18–40 years and residing in Northern Alberta, who had an encounter with a participating primary care clinic between June 29, 2015, and June 29, 2018. Physical examination, laboratory investigation and disease diagnosis data were collected. A case definition and algorithm were developed to assess the feasibility of identifying metabolic syndrome, including measures for body mass index (BMI), blood pressure (BP), dysglycemia, hypertriglyceridemia, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, diabetes and hypertension. Results: Among 15 766 young adults, the case definition suggested the prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 4.4%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.1%–4.7%. The most frequent 3-factor combination (41.6%, 95% CI 37.9%–45.3%) of metabolic syndrome criteria consisted of being overweight or obese, having elevated BP and hypertriglyceridemia. Half of metabolic syndrome cases (51.3%, 95% CI 47.6%–55.0%) were missing measures for fasting blood glucose, and one-fifth were missing a hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level. Notably, most young adults with a BMI of 25 or greater were missing HbA1c (68.7%, 95% CI 67.6%–69.8%), fasting blood glucose (84.0%, 95% CI 83.2%–84.8%) and triglyceride testing (79.0%, 95% CI 78.1%–79.9%). Interpretation: We have shown that our case definition is feasible in identifying early-onset metabolic syndrome using EMR data; however, the degree of missing data limits the feasibility in assessing prevalence. Further investigation is required to validate this case definition for metabolic syndrome in the EMR data, which may involve comparing this definition to other validated metabolic syndrome case definitions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.048 | 0.085 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".