Does Unconventional Monetary Policy Affect Bank Profitability in the Euro Area?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) on bank profitability in the euro area, over the period 2007-2019.In particular, through multiple regression models, we analyze the relationship between the UMP variables (Longer-term refinancing operations and Securities held for monetary policy purposes) and the main bank profitability variables used in the literature (Return on average equity, Return on average assets and Net interest margin).This work is original compared to recent studies on the subject as it considers the impact of UMP expressed in terms of volumes rather than in terms of interest rates on bank profitability variables.Our results suggest that the UMP adopted by the Eurosystem over the period considered is negatively associated with bank profitability expressed by the Return on average equity and the Return on average asset. By contrast, monetary policy measures do not seem to have had any effect on the Net interest margin.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".