Uni- and multivariate probability density models for numeric subgroup discovery
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Subgroup Discovery is a supervised, exploratory data mining paradigm that aims to identify subsets of a dataset that show interesting behaviour with respect to some designated target attribute. The way in which such distributional differences are quantified varies with the target attribute type. This work concerns continuous targets, which are important in many practical applications. For such targets, differences are often quantified using z-score and similar measures that compare simple statistics such as the mean and variance of the subset and the data. However, most distributions are not fully determined by their mean and variance alone. As a result, measures of distributional difference solely based on such simple statistics will miss potentially interesting subgroups. This work proposes methods to recognise distributional differences in a much broader sense. To this end, density estimation is performed using histogram and kernel density estimation techniques. In the spirit of Exceptional Model Mining, the proposed methods are extended to deal with multiple continuous target attributes, such that comparisons are not restricted to univariate distributions, but are available for joint distributions of any dimensionality. The methods can be incorporated easily into existing Subgroup Discovery frameworks, so no new frameworks are developed.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it