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Record W3121137890

‘‘IMPORT PRESERVATION’’ IN LIEU OF IMPORT SUBSTITUTION

2015· article· en· W3121137890 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sergey Tsukhlo

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2015
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicEconomic and Technological Developments in Russia
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSubstitution (logic)Quarter (Canadian coin)ProcurementInternational tradeBusinessSlowdownEconomicsCommerceComputer scienceMarketingEconomic growth
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Import substitution in the Russian industry shows obvious signs of a slowdown. Both comparative results of actually implemented import substitution quarter-on-quarter and plans of enterprises for the last quarter of the current year attest to this. At the same time, import substitution of machines and equipment was at a higher rate than import substi tution of industrial inputs. It is true that the Russian machine building industry does not reduce procurements of imported equipment. The food processing industry is losing momentum in import substitution of inputs either having disillusioned in the domestic raw material base or having exhausted its potential. Signifi cant part of the Russian industry pursues a policy of “import preservation” (in other words, does not reduce the share of imports) or even goes to “import expansion”. The latest assessment of the actual import substitution has been obtained for Q3 and forecast one for Q4 2015. Herewith, estimates of import substitution regarding industrial inputs was done separately from import substitution of machines and equipment. According to the obtained results for Q3 2015 one can make a rather definitive general conclusion: the Russian industry has reduced the scale of import substitution. This refers to all indicators: inputs, equipment, actual changes and plans for Q4 2015. Let us conduct an in-depth analysis of import substitution taking into account comparable results for Q2 2015.1

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.017

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.089
GPT teacher head0.362
Teacher spread0.274 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueRePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsSame topicEconomic and Technological Developments in RussiaFrench-language works237,207