Maximum Entropy Estimation of Density Function Using Order Statistics
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The main premise of this article is to develop a maximum entropy estimation of an unknown distribution using order statistics. The exact solution using constraints on the order statistic means is derived. The result is an integral of a rational parametric function whose parameters depend on the order statistic constraints. This integral equation can be solved directly for a small number of order statistic means, e.g., 1, 2, or at most 3, via a multidimensional search in the parameter space. As the number of constraints increases, the search for the optimum parameters becomes formidable. To resolve this problem we have proposed an approximate solution to the resultant integral equation based on Bernstein polynomials and estimates of a desired number of quantiles from available samples. The proposed approximation approach does not require any search in the parameter space and is formulated for any number of samples from an unknown distribution. Performance of this approach is evaluated under various practical conditions by using Kullback-Leibler divergence function.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".