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Record W3123575337

Anticipated International Environmental Agreements

2016· preprint· en· W3123575337 on OpenAlexaff
Ömer Açıkgöz, Hassan Benchekroun

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2016
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicClimate Change Policy and Economics
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsWelfareOffset (computer science)Stock (firearms)EconomicsBusinessEngineeringComputer scienceMarket economy
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Consider a two-period transboundary stock pollution game in which countries anticipate an international environmental agreement (IEA) to be in effect in the future (i.e., in period 2). What will be the impact of the future IEA on current emissions (i.e., in period 1)? We show that the answer to this question is ambiguous. We examine a fi rst type of IEA where countries anticipate that the level of emissions in period 2 will be set at an agreed upon target. Assuming that the countries can commit to this policy, we show that when this target is set close to the business-as-usual (BAU) level of emissions, the equilibrium level of emissions in period 1 falls below its BAU level. However, the emission level in period 1 is a decreasing function of the target that will prevail in period 2, hence, the impact of this policy on period 1 emissions may be ambiguous, and in general depend on the targeted emission level. We also examine other types of IEAs where countries cannot commit to an emission level but rather commit to an emission policy rule that depends on the level of pollution stock.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.009
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.064

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.009
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.005
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0050.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0190.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.126
GPT teacher head0.332
Teacher spread0.207 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueRePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsSame topicClimate Change Policy and EconomicsFrench-language works237,207