How tax policy and incentives affect foreign direct investment - a review
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
With an increasing number of governments \n competing to attract multinational companies, fiscal \n incentives have become a global trend that has grown \n considerably in the 1990s. Poor African countries rely on \n tax holidays, and import duty exemptions, while industrial \n Western European countries allow investment allowances, or \n accelerated depreciation. Have governments offered \n unreasonably large incentives to entice firms to invest in \n their countries? The authors review the literature on tax \n policy, and foreign direct investment, and explore \n possibilities for research. They observe that tax incentives \n neither make up for serious deficiencies in a country's \n investment environment, nor generate the desired \n externalities. Long-term strategies to improve human, and \n physical infrastructure - and, where necessary, to \n streamline government policies and procedures - are more \n likely than incentives to attract genuine long-term \n investment. But more recent evidence has shown that when \n other factors - such as infrastructure, transport costs, and \n political and economic stability - are more or less equal, \n the taxes in one location may have a significant effect on \n investors' choices. This effect is not straightforward, \n however. It may depend on the tax instrument used by the \n authorities, the characteristics of the multinational \n company, and the relationships between the tax systems in \n the home country, and recipient countries. For example, tax \n rebates are more important for mobile firms, for firms that \n operate in multiple markets, and for firms whose home \n country exempts any profit earned abroad (Canada, France) \n rather than using tax credit systems (Japan, the United \n Kingdom, the United States). Even if tax incentives were \n quite effective in increasing investment flows, the costs \n might well outweigh the benefits. Tax incentives are not \n only likely to have a negative direct effect on fiscal \n revenues, but also frequently create significant \n opportunities for illicit behavior by tax administrators, \n and companies. This issue has become crucial in emerging \n economies, which face more severe budgetary constraints, and \n corruption than industrial countries do. The authors suggest \n research in five areas: 1) The eventual non-linear impact of \n tax rates on the investment decisions of multinational \n companies. 2) the effect of tax policy on the composition of \n foreign direct investment (for example, green-field, \n reinvested earnings, and mergers and acquisitions). 3) The \n development of new technologies, and global companies that \n are likely to be more sensitive to, and able to exploit \n incentives. 4) The need for a global approach to the \n taxation of multinational companies. 5) The question of \n whether tax incentives should be directed only at (foreign) \n investors that make the "right things" (such as \n environmentally safe products) or more broadly at those that \n bring jobs, technology transfers, and marketing skills.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it