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Record W3126001246

Drivers of convergence in eleven eastern European countries

2012· preprint· en· W3126001246 on OpenAlexaff
Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Harald Oberhofer, Karlis Smits, Gallina Andronova Vincelette

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2012
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicRegional Development and Policy
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEuropean unionProsperityConvergence (economics)IncentiveEconomicsBusinessEconomic policyEconomic growthMarket economy
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This paper investigates the drivers of
\n growth and prosperity in a group of eleven European
\n countries -- Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia,
\n Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, and
\n Slovakia (the EU11). Since the EU11 began the transformation
\n process, this group of emerging countries has made
\n impressive strides as developing market economies and is
\n anchoring development in European Union institutions. There
\n are reasons to believe that the convergence of EU11 income
\n per capita to Western European levels will continue, but
\n will proceed more slowly. The paper concludes that trade and
\n financial integration have sped along at a spectacular pace
\n in the EU11 in the recent past, although trade in modern
\n services and the integration of government bond and equity
\n markets are somewhat behind. As in the rest of Europe,
\n demographic developments will pose huge challenges for the
\n sustainability of public finance in the EU11 economies. In
\n the next several decades, the EU11 labor force is expected
\n to contract more than labor forces in the rest of the
\n European Union, making it even more urgent that countries in
\n the region reform pension systems, change migration policy,
\n and find incentives to attract talent to the region. Closing
\n the gap with the rest of the European Union in educational
\n attainment levels and improving education quality might
\n significantly soften the constraints imposed by the
\n demographic threats and produce sizable returns in terms of
\n additional income convergence.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.647
Threshold uncertainty score0.767

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.062
GPT teacher head0.357
Teacher spread0.295 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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