Low grade of radiographic osteoarthritis predicts unsatisfactory response of the contralateral knee replacement in two‐stage bilateral total knee arthroplasty
Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE: It is difficult to counsel patients with bilateral osteoarthritis who are unsatisfied with their first knee replacement as to whether they are likely to have a better outcome after the contralateral knee is replaced. The purpose of this study was to determine whether predictive factors can be found to prognosticate outcome of the second-side knee replacement when a patient has an unsatisfactory response to the first, with the hypothesis that predictors, such as prosthetic factors and radiographic level of osteoarthritis, may be able to predict a satisfactory response to the contralateral knee replacement. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An analysis of staged bilateral knee replacements performed at a tertiary arthroplasty centre from 2012 to 2018 was undertaken. A total of 550 knee replacements in 275 patients were included in this study. The primary variable measured was the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) score. Satisfactory response to surgery was defined as a WOMAC score improved by 17 points or more, and 56 or greater. Patients who did not achieve a satisfactory response with their first knee replacement were further analysed for predictive factors (age, sex, pre-operative score, mental score, socioeconomic status, type of prosthesis, use of navigation, patella resurfacing and radiographic osteoarthritis) of an unsatisfactory response for their contralateral knee replacement. RESULTS: Overall, 44 (16%) patients failed to achieve a satisfactory response from both their first and contralateral knee replacements. The factor most predictive of an unsatisfactory response to their first knee replacement was pre-operative mental health score. However, in patients who did not achieve a satisfactory response with their first knee replacement, radiographic osteoarthritis, as measured by the Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) score was the main predictor of satisfactory response for their contralateral knee replacement. Only patients with KL grade 4 osteoarthritis were likely to have a satisfactory response with their contralateral knee replacements (KL4 versus KL3, Odds ratio 3.57 (CI 1.26-10.03) p = 0.016*). Patients with KL grade 3 osteoarthritis were unlikely to have a satisfactory response, and in this series, no patient with KL grade 2 osteoarthritis had a satisfactory response. CONCLUSION: In a patient who has an unsatisfactory response to their first knee replacement, the best predictor of achieving a satisfactory response to his/her contralateral knee replacement is the level of radiographic osteoarthritis in that knee. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV: Retrospective Cohort study.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".