Lessons learned from contemporary glioblastoma randomized clinical trials through systematic review and network meta-analysis: part 1 newly diagnosed disease
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Glioblastoma (GB) is the most common malignant brain tumor with a dismal prognosis despite standard of care (SOC). Here we used a network meta-analysis on treatments from randomized control trials (RCTs) to assess the effect on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) beyond the SOC. Methods We included RCTs that investigated the addition of a new treatment to the SOC in patients with newly diagnosed GB. Our primary outcome was OS, with secondary outcomes including PFS and adverse reactions. Hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) regarding OS and PFS were extracted from each paper. We utilized a frequentist network meta-analysis. We planned a subgroup analysis based on O6-methylguanine-DNA methyl-transferase (MGMT) status. We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses. Results Twenty-one studies were included representing a total of 7403 patients with GB. There was significant heterogeneity among studies impacting important factors such as timing of randomization and sample size. A confidence analysis on the network meta-analysis results revealed a score of low or very low for all treatment comparisons, across subgroups. Allowing for the heterogeneity within the study population, alkylating nitrosoureas (Lomustine and ACNU) and tumor-treating field improved both OS (HR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.33–0.84 and HR = 0.63 95% CI 0.42–0.94, respectively) and PFS (HR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.77–1.00 and HR = 0.63 95% CI 0.52–0.76, respectively). Conclusions Our analysis highlights the numerous studies performed on newly diagnosed GB, with no proven consensus treatment that is superior to the current SOC. Intertrial heterogeneity raises the need for better standardization in neuro-oncology studies.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.011 | 0.044 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.071 | 0.018 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it