Fused Spatial Point Process IntensityEstimation on Complex Domains
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large spatial point patterns on complex domains, where many existing spatial point process models suffer from the problems of leakage and computation. We propose an efficient intensity estimation algorithm to estimate the spatially varying intensity function and to study the varying relationship between intensity and explanatory variables on complex domains. The method is built upon a graph regularization technique and hence can be flexibly applied to point patterns on complex domains such as regions with irregular boundaries and holes, or linear networks. An efficient proximal gradient optimization algorithm is proposed to handle large spatial point patterns. We also derive the asymptotic error bound for the proposed estimator. Numerical studies are conducted to illustrate the performance of the method. Finally, We apply the method to study and visualize the intensity patterns of the accidents on the Western Australia road network, and the spatial variations in the effects of income, lights condition, and population density on the Toronto homicides occurrences.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".