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Record W3130732567 · doi:10.1029/2020ms002367

Scale‐Aware Space‐Time Stochastic Parameterization of Subgrid‐Scale Velocity Enhancement of Sea Surface Fluxes

2021· article· en· W3130732567 on OpenAlexaff
Julie Bessac, Hannah M. Christensen, Kota Endo, Adam H. Monahan, Nils Weitzel

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Victoria
FundersNatural Environment Research CouncilSight Research UK
KeywordsMesoscale meteorologyScale (ratio)Stochastic modellingWind speedStatistical physicsMeteorologyMathematicsPhysicsStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Stochastic representation of the influence of the subgrid‐scales on the resolved scales in weather and climate models has been shown to improve ensemble spread and resolved variability. We propose a statistical scale‐aware space‐time model to characterize the contribution of mesoscale wind variability to air‐sea exchanges. In an earlier study, we analyzed the difference between “true” fluxes computed from a high resolution simulation and “resolved” fluxes obtained by coarse graining. This discrepancy is modeled in space and time, conditioned on the coarse‐grained wind and precipitation fields, to parameterize the enhancement of fluxes by mesoscale velocity variations. Stochastic parameterization models have traditionally been developed for particular model resolutions without the explicit capability to adapt to model resolution. We present an approach to develop stochastic models that adapt to resolution in a scale‐aware fashion. The scale‐aware parameterization is developed from empirical results for systematically coarse‐grained high‐resolution numerical model output. The statistical model is fit from numerical model output at three different coarsening resolutions. From this scale‐aware parameterization, we derive a stochastic parameterization of flux enhancement by subgrid velocity variations for arbitrary resolutions and characterize the conditional distributions and space‐time structures of the flux enhancement across model resolutions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.212
Threshold uncertainty score0.459

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.249
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations8
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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