Anomaly detection using state‐space models and reinforcement learning
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The early detection of anomalies associated with changes in the behavior of structures is important for ensuring their serviceability and safety. Identifying anomalies from monitoring data is prone to false and missed alarms due to the uncertain nature of the infrastructure responses' dependency on external factors such as temperature and loading. Existing anomaly detection strategies typically rely on univariate threshold values and disregard the planning horizon in the context of decision making. This paper proposes an anomaly detection framework that combines the interpretability of existing Bayesian dynamic linear models, a particular form of state-space models, with the long-term planning ability of reinforcement learning. The new framework provides (a) reinforcement learning formalism for anomaly detection in Bayesian dynamic linear models, (b) a method for simulating anomalies with respect to its height, duration, and time of occurrence, and (c) a method for quantifying anomaly detectability. The potential of the new framework is demonstrated on monitoring data collected on a bridge in Canada. The results show that the framework is able to detect real anomalies that were known to have occurred, as well as synthetic anomalies.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it