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Record W3134517924 · doi:10.1101/2021.02.24.21252386

Epidemiological cutoff values for a 96-well broth microdilution plate for high-throughput research antibiotic susceptibility testing of <i>M. tuberculosis</i>

2021· preprint· en· W3134517924 on OpenAlexaff
Philip W. Fowler, Ivan Barilar, Simone Battaglia, Emanuele Borroni, Angela Pires Brandão, Alice Brankin, Andrea Maurizio Cabibbe, Joshua Carter, Daniela María Cirillo, Pauline Claxton, David A. Clifton, Ted Cohen, Jorge Coronel, Derrick W. Crook, Viola Dreyer, Sarah G. Earle, Vincent Escuyer, Lucilaine Ferrazoli, George F. Gao, Jennifer L. Gardy, Saheer E. Gharbia, Kelen Teixeira Ghisi, Arash Ghodousi, Ana Lúıza Gibertoni Cruz, Louis Grandjean, Clara Grazian, Ramona Groenheit, Jennifer L. Guthrie, Wencong He, Harald Hoffmann, Sarah Hoosdally, Martin Hunt, Zamin Iqbal, Nazir Ismail, Lisa Jarrett, Lavania Joseph, Ruwen Jou, Priti Kambli, Rukhsar Khot, Jeff Knaggs, Anastasia Koch, Donna Kohlerschmidt, Samaneh Kouchaki, Alexander S. Lachapelle, Ajit Lalvani, Simon Grandjean Lapierre, Ian F. Laurenson, Brice Letcher, Wan-Hsuan Lin, Chunfa Liu, Dongxin Liu, Kerri M. Malone, Ayan Mandal, Mikael Mansjö, Daniela Matias, Graeme Meintjes, Flávia de Freitas Mendes, Matthias Merker, Marina Mihalic, James Millard, Paolo Miotto, Nerges Mistry, David Moore, Kimberlee A. Musser, Dumisani Ngcamu, Hoang Ngoc Nhung, Stefan Niemann, Kayzad Nilgiriwala, Camus Nimmo, Nana Okozi, Rosângela Siqueira de Oliveira, Shaheed Vally Omar, Nicholas I. Paton, Tim Peto, Juliana Maíra Watanabe Pinhata, Sara Plesnik, Zully M. Puyén, Marie Sylvianne Rabodoarivelo, Niaina Rakotosamimanana, Paola M. V. Rancoita, Priti Rathod, Esther Robinson, Gillian Rodger, Camilla Rodrigues, Timothy C. Rodwell, Aysha Roohi, David Santos-Lázaro, Sanchi Shah, Thomas A. Kohl, Grace Smith, Walter Solano, Andrea Spitaleri, Philip Supply, Utkarsha Surve, Sabira Tahseen, Nguyễn Thụy Thương Thương, Guy Thwaites, Katharina Todt, Alberto Trovato, Christian Utpatel, Annelies Van Rie, Srinivasan Vijay, A Sarah Walker, Robin M. Warren, Jim Werngren, Maria Wijkander, Robert J. Wilkinson, Daniel J. Wilson, Penelope Wintringer, Yu-Xin Xiao, Yang Yang, Shen-Yuan Yao, Baoli Zhu

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicTuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
Canadian institutionsUniversité de MontréalPublic Health OntarioUniversity of British Columbia
FundersMedical Research CouncilCenters for Disease Control and PreventionNational Science and Technology Major ProjectFolkhälsomyndighetenFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São PauloPublic Health AgencyNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaUniversity of OxfordNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchNational Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research UnitPublic Health EnglandDepartment of Health and Social CareWellcome TrustEuropean CommissionBill and Melinda Gates Foundation
KeywordsBroth microdilutionTuberculosisBiologyPopulationDrug resistanceCutoffConfidence intervalAntibioticsMinimum inhibitory concentrationMicrobiologyMedicineInternal medicinePathologyPhysicsEnvironmental health

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Drug susceptibility testing of M. tuberculosis is rooted in a binary susceptible/resistant paradigm. Whilst there are considerable advantages in measuring the minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) of a panel of drugs for an isolate it is n ecessary to measure the epidemiological cutoff values (ECOFF/ECVs) to permit comparison with qualitative data. Here we present ECOFF/ECVs for 13 anti-TB compounds, including bedaquiline and delamanid, derived from 20,637 clinical isolates collected by 14 laboratories based in 11 countries on five continents. Each isolate was incubated for 14 days on a dry 96-well broth microdilution plate and then read. Resistance to most of the drugs due to prior exposure is expected and the MIC distributions for many of the compounds are complex and therefore a phenotypically wild-type population could not be defined. Since a majority of samples also underwent genetic sequencing, we defined a genotypically wild-type population and measured the MIC of the 99 th percentile by direct measurement and via fitting a Gaussian using interval regression. The proposed ECOFF/ECV values were then validated by comparing to the MIC distributions of high-confidence genetic variants that confer resistance and to qualitative drug susceptibility tests obtained via Mycobacterial Growth Indicator Tube and the Microscopic-Observation Drug-Susceptibility assay. These ECOFF/ECV values will inform and encourage the more widespread adoption of broth microdilution – this is a cheap culture-based method that tests the susceptibility of 12-14 antibiotics on a single 96-well plate and so could help personalise the treatment of tuberculosis.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.019
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.072
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Research integrity
Consensus categoriesResearch integrity
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.082
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0190.072
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.159
GPT teacher head0.419
Teacher spread0.260 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations12
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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