Prognostic and predictive effect of KRAS gene copy number and mutation status in early stage non-small cell lung cancer patients
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: In the current analysis, we characterize the prognostic significance of KRAS mutations with concomitant copy number aberrations (CNA) in early stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and evaluate the ability to predict survival benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: Clinical and genomic data from the LACE (Lung Adjuvant Cisplatin Evaluation)-Bio consortium was utilized. CNAs were categorized as Gain (CN ≥2) or Neutral (Neut)/Loss; KRAS status was defined as wild type (WT) or mutant (MUT). The following groups were compared in all patients and the adenocarcinoma subgroup, and were correlated to survival endpoints using a Cox proportional hazards model: WT + Neut/Loss (reference), WT + Gain, MUT + Gain and MUT + Neut/Loss. A treatment-by-variable interaction was added to evaluate predictive effect. Results: Of the 946 (399 adenocarcinoma) NSCLC patients, 41 [30] had MUT + Gain, 145 [99] MUT + Neut/Loss, 125 [16] WT + Gain, and 635 [254] WT + Neut/Loss. A non-significant trend towards worse lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS; HR =1.34; 95% CI, 0.83–2.17, P=0.232), DFS (HR =1.34; 95% CI, 0.86–2.09, P=0.202) and OS (HR =1.59; 95% CI, 0.99–2.54, P=0.055) was seen in KRAS MUT + Gain patients relative to KRAS WT + Neut/Loss patients. A negative prognostic effect of KRAS MUT + Neut/Loss was observed for LCSS (HR =1.32; 95% CI, 1.01–1.71, P=0.038) relative to KRAS WT + Neut/Loss on univariable analysis, but to a lesser extent after adjusting for covariates (HR =1.28; 95% CI, 0.97–1.68, P=0.078). KRAS MUT + Gain was associated with a greater beneficial effect of chemotherapy on DFS compared to KRAS WT + Neut/Loss patients (rHR =0.33; 95% CI, 0.11–0.99, P=0.048), with a non-significant trend also seen for LCSS (rHR =0.41; 95% CI, 0.13–1.33, P=0.138) and OS (rHR =0.40; 95% CI, 0.13–1.26, P=0.116) in the adenocarcinoma subgroup. Conclusions: A small prognostic effect of KRAS mutation was identified for LCSS, and a trend towards worse LCSS, DFS and OS was noted for KRAS MUT + Gain. A potential predictive effect of concomitant KRAS mutation and copy number gain was observed for DFS in adenocarcinoma patients. These results could be driven by the small number of patients and require validation.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it