Human–Computer Agreement of Electrocardiogram Interpretation for Patients Referred to and Declined for Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Retrospective Data Analysis Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: When a patient is suspected of having an acute myocardial infarction, they are accepted or declined for primary percutaneous coronary intervention partly based on clinical assessment of their 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction criteria. OBJECTIVE: We retrospectively determined the agreement rate between human (specialists called activator nurses) and computer interpretations of ECGs of patients who were declined for primary percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS: Various features of patients who were referred for primary percutaneous coronary intervention were analyzed. Both the human and computer ECG interpretations were simplified to either "suggesting" or "not suggesting" acute myocardial infarction to avoid analysis of complex heterogeneous and synonymous diagnostic terms. Analyses, to measure agreement, and logistic regression, to determine if these ECG interpretations (and other variables such as patient age, chest pain) could predict patient mortality, were carried out. RESULTS: Of a total of 1464 patients referred to and declined for primary percutaneous coronary intervention, 722 (49.3%) computer diagnoses suggested acute myocardial infarction, whereas 634 (43.3%) of the human interpretations suggested acute myocardial infarction (P<.001). The human and computer agreed that there was a possible acute myocardial infarction for 342 out of 1464 (23.3%) patients. However, there was a higher rate of human-computer agreement for patients not having acute myocardial infarctions (450/1464, 30.7%). The overall agreement rate was 54.1% (792/1464). Cohen κ showed poor agreement (κ=0.08, P=.001). Only the age (odds ratio [OR] 1.07, 95% CI 1.05-1.09) and chest pain (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.39-0.89) independent variables were statistically significant (P=.008) in predicting mortality after 30 days and 1 year. The odds for mortality within 1 year of referral were lower in patients with chest pain compared to those patients without chest pain. A referral being out of hours was a trending variable (OR 1.41, 95% CI 0.95-2.11, P=.09) for predicting the odds of 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality in patients who were declined for primary percutaneous coronary intervention was higher than the reported mortality for ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients at 1 year. Agreement between computerized and human ECG interpretation is poor, perhaps leading to a high rate of inappropriate referrals. Work is needed to improve computer and human decision making when reading ECGs to ensure that patients are referred to the correct treatment facility for time-critical therapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.011 | 0.038 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".