Longer follow-up data of circulating miR371a-3p expression across the spectrum of germ cell tumors (GCT).
Bibliographic record
Abstract
379 Background: miR371a-3p (miR371) is overexpressed in seminoma (S) and nonseminoma (NS) active germ cell malignancy (aGCM) and easily detectable in blood. We previously described1 a remarkably high accuracy of miR371 in detecting aGCM in early and advanced stages germ cell tumor (GCT) patients (pts). We here present the updated miR371 expression data with a longer follow-up, particularly relevant to assess miR371 clinical utility to predict GCT relapse in clinical stage I (CSI) and stage IIA pts. Methods:119 samples from 99 pts enrolled in the GU biobank program at the British Columbia Cancer – Vancouver were analyzed. The pts were divided according to their risk of aGCM in low (CSIA NS and CSI S), moderate (CSIB NS, stage IIA markers negative/low elevated S and NS), and high risk (definitively metastatic aGCM) groups. Blood of the low and moderate risk pts was collected post orchiectomy and at the time of the clinical relapse; prior to/post-chemotherapy in the high risk group. Plasma miR371 expression was evaluated by RT-PCR and quantified by ΔΔCT method. Sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values (NPV, PPV) and AUC of the ROC curve were analyzed. Results: Five (2 moderate - 3 low risks) pts were lost at follow-up and 1 high risk pt had deceased. Overall, 113 samples (50, 36, 27 in the low, moderate, and high risk groups, respectively) were analyzed. The median follow-up from study entry was 30 (6-51), 28 (20-52), and 29 (7-53) months for the low, moderate and high risk, respectively. Seven more relapses occurred: 4 in the low risk (3 S and 1 NS) and 3 in the moderate risk groups (2 NS and 1 S). miR371 was found falsely negative post-orchiectomy in 4 pts and truly negative in 3 relapsed pts (2 pure teratoma and 1 unconfirmed relapse). Serial analysis of the false negative relapsed pts showed that miR371 became detectable at the time of clinical relapse. The operating characteristics of miR371 are summarized in the table below. Conclusions: Our follow-up has exceeded the expected time of relapse even in the low risk pts. The high accuracy of miR371 in detecting aGCM was confirmed with a longer follow up. However, the few false negatives in relapsed pts and the serial analysis suggest a lack of sensitivity in the detection of microscopic disease post-orchiectomy with the current methodology while miR371 high sensitivity was confirmed in presence of radiologic measurable disease (≥ 1 cm). The definitive operating characteristics of miR371 post-orchiectomy and during the follow-up of stages I/ IIA pts will be prospectively validated by the S1823 study that is actively recruiting pts. [Table: see text]
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".