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Record W3135522067 · doi:10.21810/jicw.v2i3.1183

Predicting Escalation

2020· article· en· W3135522067 on OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
CCIBC

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Intelligence Conflict and Warfare · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPsychology
TopicResilience and Mental Health
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDamagesArgument (complex analysis)RhetoricCriminologySocial psychologyPsychologyIncentiveForgivenessPolitical scienceLaw and economicsSociologyLawMedicineEconomicsPhilosophy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

An argument can be made that hateful rhetoric and group versus group conflict has increased in Canada in part due to the lack of identification in the Criminal Code of identity-based soft violence, thereby inadvertently providing perpetrators with the incentive to continue with their activities unpunished (Meyers, 2019). Kelshall has defined these unrecognized acts of hate as soft violence, which includes “actions that stop short of criminally identified violence...and highlight the superiority of one group over another without kinetic impact" (as cited in Kelshall & Meyers, 2019, p. 40). The damage created by soft violence is incalculable, as its harmful effects range from instilling fear within the individual victim or targeted identity-based group, to the polarization of society that damages cohesion within the general public (Kelshall & Meyers, 2019). Furthermore, it might be useful to consider the damage of soft violence on researchers of such content. Therefore, the Predicting Escalation research project first focuses on the impact of analyzing hateful content on the researchers themselves. The following progress report outlines the supportive literature, research challenges, and research findings that have been collated thus far.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.005
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.040
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.018
Threshold uncertainty score0.060

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0050.040
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.002
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0180.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.075
GPT teacher head0.384
Teacher spread0.309 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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