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Record W3135579514 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-279400/v1

Unraveling COVID-19: a large-scale characterization of 4.5 million COVID-19 cases using CHARYBDIS

2021· preprint· en· W3135579514 on OpenAlexaff
Daniel Prieto‐Alhambra, Kristin Kostka, Talita Duarte‐Salles, Albert Prats‐Uribe, Anthony G. Sena, Andrea Pistillo, Sara Khalid, Lana Yin Hui Lai, Asieh Golozar, Thamir M. Alshammari, Dalia Dawoud, Fredrik Nyberg, Adam Wilcox, Alan Andryc, Andrew E. Williams, Anna Ostropolets, Carlos Areia, Chi Young Jung, Christopher A. Harle, Christian Reich, Clair Blacketer, Daniel R. Morales, David A. Dorr, Edward Burn, Elena Roel, Eng Hooi Tan, Evan Minty, Frank DeFalco, Gabriel de Maeztu, Gigi Lipori, Heba Alghoul, Hong Zhu, Jason Thomas, Jiang Bian, Jimyung Park, Jordi Martínez Roldán, Jose Posada, Juan M. Banda, Juan Pablo Horcajada, Julianna Kohler, Karishma Shah, Karthik Natarajan, Kristine E. Lynch, Li Liu, Lisa M. Schilling, Martina Recalde, Mengchun Gong, Michael E. Matheny, Neus Valveny, Nicole G. Weiskopf, Nigam H. Shah, Osaid Alser, Paula Casajust, Rae Woong Park, Robert Schuff, Sarah Seager, Scott L. DuVall, Seng Chan You, Seok Young Song, Sergio Fernández‐Bertolín, Stephen Fortin, Tanja Magoč, Thomas Falconer, Vignesh Subbian, Vojtech Huser, Waheed‐Ul‐Rahman Ahmed, W. Carter, Yin Guan, Yankuic Galvan, Xing He, Peter R. Rijnbeek, George Hripcsak, Patrick Ryan, Marc A. Suchard

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCOVID-19 diagnosis using AI
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
FundersWellcome Trust
KeywordsCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Scale (ratio)PandemicCharacterization (materials science)VirologyMedicineGeographyNanotechnologyMaterials scienceCartographyInternal medicineOutbreakInfectious disease (medical specialty)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex
No abstract in any covered source. Its absence is recorded, not treated as a negative.

No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.027
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Bench or experimental · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.545
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.027
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.180
GPT teacher head0.476
Teacher spread0.296 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designBench or experimental
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractno

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