Novel polygenic risk score links depression-related cortical transcriptomic changes to brain morphology and symptom severity
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACT Our group developed a transcriptome-based polygenic risk score (T-PRS) that uses common genetic variants to capture ‘depression-like’ shifts in cortical gene expression. Here, we mapped T-PRS onto diagnosis and symptom severity in major depressive disorder (MDD) cases and controls from the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (PGC). To evaluate potential mechanisms, we further mapped T-PRS onto discrete measures of brain morphology and broad depression risk in healthy young adults. Genetic, self-report, and/or neuroimaging data were available in 29,340 PGC participants (59% women; 12,923 MDD cases, 16,417 controls) and 482 participants in the Duke Neurogenetics Study (DNS: 53% women; aged 19.8±1.2 years). T-PRS was computed from SNP data using PrediXcan to impute cortical expression levels of MDD-related genes from a previous post-mortem transcriptome meta-analysis. Sex-specific regressions were used to test effects of T-PRS on depression diagnosis, symptom severity, and Freesurfer-derived subcortical volume, cortical thickness, surface area, and local gyrification index in the PGC and DNS samples, respectively. T-PRS did not predict depression diagnosis (OR=1.007, 95%CI=[0.997-1.018]); however, it correlated with symptom severity in men (rho=0.175, p=7.957×10 −4 ) in one large PGC cohort (N=762, 48% men). In DNS, T-PRS was associated with smaller amygdala volume in women (β=-0.186, t=-3.478, p=.001) and less prefrontal gyrification (max≤-2.970, p≤.006) in both sexes. In men, prefrontal gyrification mediated an indirect effect of T-PRS on broad depression risk (b=.005, p=.029), indexed using self-reported family history of depression. Depression-like shifts in cortical gene expression predict symptom severity in men and may contribute to disease vulnerability through their effect on cortical gyrification.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".