What’s the Role Of Corn Ethanol Fuel in China: From the Life Cycle Cost View
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract China originally planned to use fuel ethanol gasoline nationwide in 2020, and taking corn as an important raw material of ethanol gasoline, this paper analyzed the life cycle cost model of corn fuel ethanol gasoline and traditional gasoline from production to consumption, including internal and external cost calculations. The internal cost is the actual cost of the industry chain, while the external cost is converted into the cost value by examining the environmental impact of pollutant emission levels in each stage of the life cycle of ethanol gasoline production. Based on this model, by selecting the project data of specific regions and manufacturers in China, it can be calculated as follows: The main links affecting the internal cost of ethanol gasoline production are crude oil procurement cost, refinery and ethanol plant construction cost; The main influencing link of external cost is the emission of ethanol gasoline combustion, including the fuel, power and other energy consumption factors in the production of ethanol and gasoline; The cost can be optimized from the perspective of production technology, technological process, energy material consumption and various labor costs. Assuming E10 is used in the whole Chinese market, the empirical results are as follows: among the pollutants produced by the use of ethanol-added gasoline in the whole region, CO 2 emission reduction is the largest, exceeding 53 million tons, followed by CO and wastewater emission reduction of 1.78 million tons and 1.58 million tons respectively. In terms of the conventional gasoline, the CO emission reduction of about 20% is the largest, followed by about 17% reduction of HC, about 15% reduction of SO 2 and about 9% reduction of CO 2 respectively. These results show that the promotion of ethanol gasoline (E10) usage in China has a considerable reduction effect of emission if the availability of raw materials are sufficient. The life cycle external cost of ethanol gasoline is 11.45%, lower than that of conventional gasoline. In 2019, China’s fuel ethanol production capacity was 4.15 million tons, and the actual production was about 3 million tons. Assuming that all of it were used to produce E10 ethanol gasoline, compared with traditional gasoline consumption, the emission reduction benefit of E10 gasoline would be nearly $84.7 million.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".