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Record W3139381519 · doi:10.34989/sdp-2021-5

Occasionally Binding Constraints in Large Models: A Review of Solution Methods

2021· review· en· W3139381519 on OpenAlexaff
Jonathan Swarbrick

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2021
Typereview
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMonetary Policy and Economic Impact
Canadian institutionsBank of Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsHumanitiesPhysicsPolitical sciencePhilosophy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

"Policy-makers use macroeconomic models to forecast the economy, analyze important events and assess the impact of key public (macroeconomic) policy actions. Detailed microeconomic featuressuch as decisions and interactions of firms and households—provide a rich theoretical foundation for the analysis. Solving complex models is difficult, and analysts often approximate the model by linearizing the equations. Linearization makes the model easier to solve. But the benefits come at the loss of important details of the behaviour of people and businesses in the model economy. A common type of feature lost in this approximation is occasionally binding constraints (OBCs). Perhaps the best-known example of an OBC is the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates—the presence of a point beyond which the central bank would not further cut interest rates. This paper considers various methods available to use with a linearized model to account for OBCs. Such accounting restores the important features associated with the model design. I show that all methods are broadly comparable, but dynareOBC (a tool kit used with the software Dynare) is faster and can be more accurate."

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.011
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.011
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.002
Bibliometrics0.0020.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0020.004
Open science0.0040.002
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.292
GPT teacher head0.425
Teacher spread0.133 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics→Same topicMonetary Policy and Economic Impact→French-language works237,207→