Abstract P330: Optimizing Predictions of Infarct Core Using Machine Learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction: Evaluation of infarct core by advanced neuroimaging has facilitated patient selection for endovascular stroke therapy (EST), however the accuracy of machine-learning analysis compared to these modalities remains unexplored. We test the performance of computed tomography-Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (CT- ASPECTS) vs. Computed Tomography Perfusion (CTP)-RAPID, vs. an extension of our novel machine-learning model, Deep Symmetry-sensitive Network (DeepSymNet [ref]), using the final infarct volume (FIV) in patients with rapid and successful endovascular reperfusion as the gold standard. Methods and Materials: We identified consecutive patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke that underwent EST with TICI 2b/3 reperfusion. FIV was determined by volumetric measurements on 24-48h DWI MRI. The DeepSymNet algorithm combines symmetric and absolute brain representations and had been trained to predict CTP-RAPID core size from CTA source images acquired at presentation. Performance at predicting FIV was determined by Pearson’s correlation for CT- ASPECTS, CTP-RAPID, and DeepSymNet. Data are presented as median [IQR]. Results: Among the 76 patients that met inclusion criteria, 55.2% were male, the median age was 68 years [54-77], and 32.8% were White. 71% of the patients demonstrated an MCA occlusion, and 55% of all occlusions were left-sided. Median ASPECTS on presentation was 8 [7-8.5] and the median FIV was 10 mL [2-37]. ASPECTS, CTP-RAPID and DeepSymNet all correlated with FIV, with comparable performances from ASPECTS (R 2 =-0.398) and CTP-RAPID (R 2 =0.403) and superior performance by DeepSymNet (R 2 =-0.606)(Table). Conclusions: The DeepSymNet machine learning model analyzing CTA source images demonstrated superior performance to ASPECTS and CTP-RAPID in FIV prediction. These findings suggest machine learning models may provide improved predictions of infarct core and selection for EST.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".