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Record W3141422698 · doi:10.46692/9781447352013.005

British Columbia’s Fast Ferries and Sydney’s Airport Link: Partisan Barriers to Learning from Policy Failure

2020· other· en· W3141422698 on OpenAlexaffabout
Joshua Newman, Malcolm G. Bird

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typeother
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicTransport and Economic Policies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Winnipeg
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLink (geometry)Regional scienceGeographyMeteorologyPolitical scienceComputer scienceComputer network

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Introduction Policy learning, where experiences from other jurisdictions and time periods inform decision-making, has been suggested as a way to improve policy outcomes – or at the very least, to improve a government's ability to predict the outcomes of its own policy decisions (Mossberger and Wolman, 2003, 430). Policy failures might therefore seem to have an especially prominent place in the learning process, as examples of instruments and ideas to avoid. Nonetheless, episodes in which failure did not lead to lessons learned or to improved public policy are abundant. The implication of this non-learning from failure is that there are situations in which the consequences of failure may not be a strong enough deterrent to prevent failure from re-occurring. In this chapter, we explore one such situation, in which the incentives of partisanship can encourage a government to actively seek to exacerbate an existing policy failure rather than to repair it. Under these circumstances, the certain benefits of shaming the political opposition outweigh any potential rewards of improving specific policy outcomes. Using the cases of British Columbia's fast ferries and the Sydney Airport Rail Link, we develop a scenario in which policy failure leads not to policy learning but rather to deliberately increased failure. While democratic governments have long been thought to endeavour to improve social outcomes, at least for particular groups or individuals (Downs, 1962), in some cases incentives can exist for governments to do more harm than good. To this end, we will examine two cases of policy failure in the late 1990s in the transportation sector. The first case explores an effort by the British Columbia Ferry Corporation (BC Ferries), a public provider of marine transportation on Canada's west coast, to introduce a fleet of high-speed aluminium catamaran ferries (the ‘fast ferries’), and the second investigates a public– private partnership scheme to build and operate an urban rail link between the central business district and the airport in Sydney, Australia (the Sydney Airport Link).

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.127
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0380.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.187
Teacher spread0.178 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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