Revisiting the recombinant history of HIV-1 group M with dynamic network community detection
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract A new abundance of full-length HIV-1 genome sequences provides an opportunity to revisit the standard model of HIV-1/M diversity that clusters genomes into largely non-recombinant subtypes, which is not consistent with recent evidence of deep recombinant histories for SIV and other HIV-1 groups. Here we develop an unsupervised non-parametric clustering approach, which does not rely on predefined non-recombinant genomes, by adapting a community detection method developed for dynamic social network analysis. We show that this method (DSBM) attains a significantly lower mean error rate in detecting recombinant breakpoints in simulated data (quasibinomial GLM, P < 8 × 10 −8 ), compared to other reference-free recombination detection programs (GARD, RDP4 and RDP5). Applied to a representative sample of n = 525 actual HIV-1 genomes, we determined k = 25 as the optimal number of DSBM clusters, and used change point detection to estimate that at least 95% of these genomes are recombinant. Further, we identified both known and novel recombination hotspots in the HIV-1 genome, and evidence of inter-subtype recombination in HIV-1 subtype reference genomes. We propose that clusters generated by DSBM can provide an informative new framework for HIV-1 classification.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".