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Record W3143864647 · doi:10.1002/fut.22191

Smile‐implied hedging with volatility risk

2021· article· en· W3143864647 on OpenAlexaff
Pascal François, Lars Stentoft

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Futures Markets · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicStochastic processes and financial applications
Canadian institutionsWestern UniversityHEC Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsImplied volatilityVolatility smileStochastic volatilityGreeksVolatility (finance)Variance swapEconometricsVolatility riskVolatility swapSABR volatility modelForward volatilityEconomicsRisk managementFinancial economicsFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Options can be dynamically replicated using model‐free Greeks extracted from the volatility smile. However, smile‐implied delta and delta–gamma hedging do not achieve minimum variance in the presence of price–volatility correlation, and these strategies have shown poor performance relative to the Black–Scholes (BS) benchmark. We propose a way to extend smile‐implied option replication with volatility risk management. Large‐scale evidence on S&P 500 index options indicates that smile‐implied delta–gamma–vega hedging strategies outperform the BS approach as well as more sophisticated option hedging frameworks, including stochastic volatility and jumps.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.016

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.002
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.200
Teacher spread0.189 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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