Bibliographic record
Abstract
1 Abstract The fate of mutations and the genetic load of populations depend on the relative importance of genetic drift and natural selection. In addition, the accuracy of numerical models of evolution depends on the strength of both selection and drift: strong selection breaks the assumptions of the nearly neutral model, and drift coupled with large sample sizes breaks Kingman’s coalescent model. Thus, the regime with strong selection and large sample sizes, relevant to the study of pathogenic variation, appears particularly daunting. Surprisingly, we find that the interplay of drift and selection in that regime can be used to define asymptotically closed recursions for the distribution of allele frequencies that are accurate well beyond the strong selection limit. Selection becomes more analytically tractable when the sample size n is larger than twice the population-scaled selection coefficient: n ≥ 2 Ns (4 Ns in diploids). That is, when the expected number of coalescent events in the sample is larger than the number of selective events. We construct the relevant transition matrices, show how they can be used to accurately compute distributions of allele frequencies, and show that the distribution of deleterious allele frequencies is sensitive to details of the evolutionary model.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.024 | 0.125 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".