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Record W3148992015

Personal Reflections on the State of Public Policy Analysis in Canada

2011· article· en· W3148992015 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Don Drummond

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCanadian Policy and Governance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRigourPublic domainDocumentationState (computer science)Work (physics)Political sciencePublic administrationPublic policyManagementSociologyEconomicsLawEngineeringHistoryEpistemology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Don Drummond1 Queen’s University ONE OF MY RESPONSIBILITIES WHEN I joined Finance Canada in 1977 was to adapt the Bank of Canada’s RDX model to do simulations of policy options. Ian Stewart had been one of the principals in the path-breaking work at the Bank to develop this early version of an economy-wide econometric model. His name loomed large in the model documentation I studied. In a case of “isn’t it a small world,” other principals included Fred Gorbet, co-editor of this volume, and John Helliwell, another contributor. I would later have the opportunity to know Ian Stewart in person when he became Deputy Minister of Finance in the 1980s. He instilled an analytical discipline in the Department’s work that combined rigour in theory and quantitative methods. A good deal of this policy work was put into the public domain where it could be scrutinized.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.062
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.124
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.645
Threshold uncertainty score0.748

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0620.124
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0070.015
Science and technology studies0.0240.034
Scholarly communication0.0320.012
Open science0.0070.008
Research integrity0.0120.022
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0150.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.098
GPT teacher head0.360
Teacher spread0.262 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics→Same topicCanadian Policy and Governance→French-language works237,207→